Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.515586 1.583830 1.653842 1.731160 1.814298 1.901164 1.998991
2026-01-04 1.374381 1.470602 1.573077 1.690826 1.823000 1.967512 2.138453
2026-01-11 1.291500 1.408738 1.537506 1.690516 1.868816 2.071847 2.323195
2026-01-18 1.234755 1.368922 1.520219 1.705352 1.928434 2.192139 2.533017
2026-01-25 1.172868 1.317286 1.483636 1.692147 1.950548 2.265959 2.689518
2026-02-01 1.111947 1.262030 1.437920 1.662822 1.948195 2.306259 2.803502
2026-02-08 1.046217 1.196952 1.375960 1.608412 1.908895 2.294319 2.844429
2026-02-15 1.001704 1.155052 1.339560 1.582873 1.903356 2.323829 2.941402
2026-02-22 0.969796 1.126832 1.318210 1.574458 1.918381 2.380091 3.078676
2026-03-01 0.935116 1.093449 1.288477 1.552986 1.913724 2.407722 3.174965
2026-03-08 0.887681 1.042168 1.233755 1.495746 1.856771 2.357622 3.149132
2026-03-15 0.864374 1.020637 1.216318 1.487096 1.865881 2.401472 3.270026
2026-03-22 0.848450 1.009600 1.214069 1.501624 1.912325 2.508774 3.512489
2026-03-29 0.819075 0.980280 1.186846 1.480932 1.907705 2.540527 3.637290
2026-04-05 0.801570 0.965851 1.178820 1.486482 1.941609 2.633870 3.878666
2026-04-12 0.788711 0.956973 1.177732 1.501523 1.990289 2.754267 4.184771
2026-04-19 0.768126 0.936933 1.160443 1.492132 2.000785 2.813231 4.385364
2026-04-26 0.744095 0.911397 1.134517 1.468723 1.987757 2.831466 4.509163
2026-05-03 0.714394 0.877268 1.095459 1.424179 1.938764 2.784593 4.496202
2026-05-10 0.694100 0.855419 1.072889 1.403214 1.926168 2.799548 4.612401
2026-05-17 0.679485 0.840915 1.060134 1.396322 1.935689 2.853782 4.819303
2026-05-24 0.662236 0.822259 1.040823 1.378558 1.926185 2.872741 4.951317
2026-05-31 0.636534 0.791243 1.002967 1.330996 1.864855 2.792592 4.848278